Key facts
- Bibliographic identity is confirmed: Ann Neurol 81(1):79-92, January 2017 in print and 24 January 2017 online, DOI 10.1002/ana.24833, PMID 27893164, PMCID PMC5266667, 18 authors.
- The study applied CSF RT-QuIC to 2,141 patients with rapidly progressive neurological disorders and evaluated 272 with autopsy-based diagnosis.
- The autopsy-checked set split into a retrospective cohort of 193 (126 prion-positive, 67 negative) and a prospective, blinded cohort of 79 (65 positive, 14 negative).
- Retrospectively the assay showed about 98.5% specificity and 92% sensitivity; prospectively, 100% specificity and about 95% sensitivity, with a positive predictive value of 100% and a negative predictive value of about 82%.
- The authors judged the assay superior to the 14-3-3 and tau markers; in the prospective cohort 14-3-3 specificity was about 43% and tau about 71%.
- Samples with heavy blood contamination were excluded (58 of 2,141, or 2.7%).
- Seeding strength and lag time let the assay separate sporadic CJD subtypes MM1 from MM2 (about 95% probability) and VV2 from VV1 (about 80%); heterozygous and mixed type 1-2 cases gave intermediate patterns.
- Higher seeding activity went with shorter survival, which is the basis of the "prognostic" claim in the title.
- In genetic prion disease, E200K was consistently strongly positive, GSS and FFI varied widely, and three cases (two FFI, one GSS) were negative.
- The one retrospective false positive was a case with Lewy body pathology at autopsy; the authors raised the possibility of subclinical prion presence, which was not confirmed.
- Funding came from CDC, NIH, the Charles S. Britton Fund, the Fondation Alliance Biosecure and the NIAID intramural program.
Timeline
- 2017Paper published in print in Annals of Neurology issue 81(1).
- 2017Online publication on 24 January 2017 per Crossref.
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Last checked 1 November 2026